ASPO ASSOCIATION FOR THE STUDY OF PEAK OIL AND GAS CGE
IV INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON
OIL AND GAS DEPLETION
19-20 May 2005, Lisbon, Portugal
 
ASPO NEWSLETTERS

KJELL ALEKLETT

Kjell Aleklett is Professor of Physics at the Department of Radiation Sciences at Uppsala University, Sweden. He holds a doctorate degree from the University of Gothenburg, Sweden. His doctoral thesis was titled, 'Total beta-decay properties and masses of nuclei far away from beta stability'.
He worked as a post-doctoral staff scientist at the Natural Science Laboratory at Studsvik. In 1978-79 and again in 1983, he was invited to work with Nobel Prize winner Glenn T. Seaborg at the Lawrence Berkley Laboratory. In 1986 he was appointed Associate Professor at Uppsala University. His main research interest has been nuclear physics.
His interest in the global energy situation started in 1995 and has grown dramatically since then. He organised the First International Workshop on Oil Depletion in May 2002 at Uppsala University. Subsequently, he obtained research grants from the Swedish government and from private industry, which made it possible to start the Uppsala Hydrocarbon Depletion Group in January 2003.

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PEDRO ALMEIDA

Pedro Domingues de Almeida, born in 1959 in Porto, Portugal.
Electrotechnical Engineer (University of Coimbra, Portugal), MSc. in Computer Science (University of Coimbra), and Ph.D. in Computer Engineering (UBI - University of Beira Interior, Portugal).
Assistant professor at the Computer Science Department of the University of Beira Interior, Portugal.
Main research interests are intelligent data analysis and knowledge extraction from data, financial prediction, photovoltaic energy systems, and energy use in present and future societies.

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ROBERT U. AYRES

Prof. Ayres was trained as a theoretical physicist (BS Chicago, 1954, MS U Maryland 1956, PhD London, 1958). His interest in environmental affairs began in the early 1960s when he worked at the Hudson Institute on environmental implications of nuclear conflict. In the late 1960s he went to Resources for the Future (RFF), to help initiate a new program on environmental economics.
In 1969 he co-founded and managed a small consultancy in Washington DC focused on energy, transportation, and environmental problems, while also writing several books. In 1979 he was appointed Professor of Engineering and Public Policy at Carnegie-Mellon University, where he specialized partly on manufacturing and robotics and partly on industrial metabolism or industrial ecology. A stint at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Laxenburg, Austria (1986-2000) persuaded him to return to his earlier environmental interests. In 1992 he was appointed Sandoz Professor of Environment and Management at INSEAD, in Fontainebleau, France. He retired, as Emeritus Professor in 2000. From 2000 to 2002 he was Visiting Professor at the Institute for Advanced Study (IAS) of the UN University in Tokyo (part time). In 2000 he was appointed Jubilee Professor at Chalmers Institute of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden, where he continued as a visiting professor (part time) through 2003. In 2004 he was appointed Institute Scholar, at IIASA (part time) and King Carl XVI Gustav Professor of Environmental Science, at Chalmers, Gothenburg University and Kalmar University in Sweden. He has written more than 200 peer-reviewed journal articles or book chapters, written or co-authored 18 books, and edited or co-edited 12 books. He has also received several prizes for his work, including the Kenneth Boulding Prize of the International Society for Ecological Economics (ISEE) (2002) and the first award for outstanding research of the International Society for Industrial Ecology (ISIE).

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ALI MORTEZA SAMSAM BAKHTIARI

Born in 1946 at Tehran, Iran.

1964-1971: B.Sc., M.Sc. and Ph.D. in Chemical Engineering (Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH), Zurich, Switzerland).

1971-2005: Regular employee at the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC), Tehran, Iran. Presently 'senior expert' in NIOC's Corporate Planning Division.

1972-1991: Part-time lecturer at the Chemical Engineering Department (Technical
Faculty of Tehran University - TFTU).

1976-2005: Author of dozens of scientific articles related to the international oil and gas industry and participation in many international conferences (all four ASPOs).

2001-2005: Creator and co-director of website <
www.samsambakhtiari.com> - author of "Letter from Tehran" and "Insights".

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UGO BARDI

Dipartimento Di Chimica - Universita' di Firenze, Polo Scientifico di Sesto Fiorentino, Via della Lastruccia 3, 50019 Sesto Fiorentino (Fi) - Italy, tel + 39 055 457 3118, fax+ 39 055 457 3120,
bardi@unifi.it

Born in Firenze (Italy) May 23rd 1952. Italian citizen, married.
Laurea in Chemistry (27/9/1976) Università di Firenze
Positions Held:
Associate professor in Physical Chemistry, University of Firenze, Italy.
1980-1982: Postdoctoral, University of Berkeley (Ca), USA.
1977-1979: Assistent, faculté de Physique, University of Aix-Marseille, France.
1976-1977: Postdoctoral, State University of New York at Stony Brook
Fellowships Stages in foreign research institutes:
May-Sept 1985: FullBright Fellowship. Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory, USA.
Oct 1986-May 1987: Matsumae International Foundation Fellowship, University of Tokyo.
Feb 1994-Mar 1994: Fellowship of the Japanese society for the progress of science (JSPS), Universitv of Tokyo.
Feb 1997-Apr 1997: Fellowship of the University of Tokyo
Field of expertise:
Surface chemistry and surface Science, with special emphasis on materials and coatings, especially by electrochemical techniques. From 2001, strategic studies of resource depletion in collaboration with the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas (ASPO)
Other:
Author of more than 100 papers in international reviewed journals. Author of a large number of contributed papers at internazional conferences, Holder of several national and international grants. International coordinator of NATO, ESF and CRUI grants. Local coordinator of the 4th framework BRITE project DESCO, 5th framework ABRANEW, 6th framework DESIRE, ASTERIXE and REACT. International coordinator of the FW 6 STREP "IOLISURF".
Languages: Italian, English, French, Spanish.
(Updated Jan 2005)

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Dr. ROGER W. BENTLEY

Dr. Bentley is CTO of Whitfield Solar Ltd., and Secretary of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas (ASPO).
Previously he was a Senior Research Fellow in the Dept. of Cybernetics, University of Reading, where he worked on solar energy and oil and gas depletion. He remains a member of Reading's 'Oil Resources Group'. For a year he was Coordinator of the Oil Depletion Analysis Centre (ODAC), London.
Dr. Bentley has given talks on global oil depletion to academic groups, companies, research institutions and governments. He has published some 40 papers, of which 10 are on hydrocarbon depletion. Of the latter, recent ones are:
- Oil Forecasts: Past and Present. R.W. Bentley. Energy Exploration and Exploitation, Vol. 20, No. 6, pp 481-492, Multi-Science, 2002.
- Global oil and gas depletion: an overview. R.W. Bentley. Energy Policy, February 2002, pp 189-205, Elsevier.
- Perspectives on the Future of Oil. R.W. Bentley, R.H. Booth, J.D. Burton, M.L. Coleman, B.W. Sellwood and G.R. Whitfield. Energy Exploration and Exploitation, Vol. 18, Nos. 2 & 3, pp 147-206, Multi-Science, 2000.
See also
www.oildepletion.org.

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CARLOS BRUHN

Carlos H.L. Bruhn was born in February 12th, 1958, in Porto Alegre, southern Brazil. He began his geology studies at the Rio Grande do Sul Federal University in 1976, and graduated with a B.Sc. in Geology from the Bahia Federal University in 1980.
Since joining Petrobras (the Brazilian national oil company) in 1981, he has been working on various exploration and production assignments in eastern Brazilian marginal basins. He obtained his M.Sc. in 1985 from the Ouro Preto Federal University, at which time he studied lacustrine turbidites from the Recôncavo rift basin. He received a Ph.D. in geology from McMaster University (Canada) in 1993, after developing a project on turbidite reservoirs from the Campos and Espírito Santo passive margin basins. In the same year, he received the Canadian Society of Petroleum Geologists Award for the best Ph.D. thesis in petroleum geology presented in Canada that year.
From 1993 to 2000 he integrated multidisciplinary teams responsible for the management and reservoir characterization studies of the oilfields from deep-water Campos Basin. He has also done consulting work in most of the Petrobras E&P offices across the country, and has taught several courses in the Petrobras internal training program, and in the M.Sc. program on Reservoir Geology and Engineering of the Campinas University, Brazil. In 1998 and 2000 taught courses sponsored by the American Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG) on deep-water, petroleum reservoirs.
In November 2000, became Petrobras E&P Corporate Manager for Reservoir Characterization. More recently, he served as 2001-2002 AAPG Distinguished Lecturer.

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COLIN J. CAMPBELL

Colin J. Campbell was born in 1931 spending his early years in England. After securing a Ph D in Geology at Oxford in 1957, he joined the oil industry as an exploration geologist, undertaking field work in Trinidad, Colombia and Papua. In 1968, he moved to New York as Regional Geologist for South America, being also involved in an assessment of worldwide oil resources and exploration potential, before being appointed Chief Geologist of a venture in the Amazon headwaters of Ecuador. In 1972, he returned to England as General Manager of an oil company organising exploration ventures in the North Sea and other areas, before ending his career as an Executive Vice-President in Norway, where he was involved in another study of world reserves and depletion for the Government.
In "retirement" he found himself consulting for major companies and governments. In 1995, he co-authored a definitive study by a consultancy, based on details of some 24 000 oilfields, which drew attention to the issue of Peak Oil.
He has written five books on oil depletion, as well as numerous scientific publications. He was the founder of ASPO, and his work now attracts much media interest. He has given presentations to the House of Commons in London and the Irish Senate. He now lives in Ireland.

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YVES COCHET, MP

Yves Cochet was born February 15 1946 in Rennes (France). He is widower.
He has a daughter, Céline, 31 years, teacher.
President of the science students in the University of Rennes, he finishes his graduate studies in mathematics, 1968. He becomes teacher and researcher in the National institute of the Applied Sciences (INSA) of Rennes in 1969 and supports his thesis in mathematics, June 1971.
During the seventies, he participates actively to the antinuclear fights in Brittany and adheres to the two ecological associations (Living Brittany, Waters and Rivers in Brittany). Simultaneously, from 1976 to 1980, he constructs himself his solar house and intervenes publicly into many meetings on energy.
Member of "Friends of the Earth" as early as 1973, Yves Cochet founds the local group Friends of the Earth in Rennes, 1977. In 1980-81, he participates actively in the national campaign of the ecologists for the presidential elections. He is the kingpin of the negotiations that result in the creation of the Greens, in Clichy, January 1984. He is spokesperson of the Greens from 1984 until 1997.
In March 1989, Yves Cochet is elected town councillor in Rennes, then Member of the European Parliament in June 1989.
On the 1st of June 1997, he is elected Member of the French Parliament, then becomes Vice President of this national assembly.
July 12 2001, he succeeds Dominique Voynet as Minister of the Territory and Environment in the government of Lionel Jospin, until May 6 2002. He participates to the great international meetings of environmental governance and sustainable development (climatic conferences in Bonn and in Marrakesh, G8 Environment in Banff, biodiversity conference in the Hague).
June 16 2002, he is elected Member of the French Parliament (Paris constituency).
October 21 2003, he publishes with Agnès Sinaï the book "Save the Earth" (Fayard Publishing).

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MANUEL COLLARES-PEREIRA

Electrotechnical Engineer (IST- Technical University of Lisbon), Ph.D. in Physics (Univ. of Chicago). Presently Coordinator of Research at INETI (National Institute for Engineering, Technology and Innovation)- Lisbon, Renewable Energies Department and Professor in the Physics Department (IST, Technical University of Lisbon-Lisbon). Responsible for the R&D Department of AO SOL, Energias Renováveis, Ltd, manufacturer of CPC type collectors, under a special agreement with INETI to that effect. Founder of SUN CO, Companhia de Energia Solar, S.A., producer of solar cookers. Extensive research in Solar Energy as a specialist in Optics and Thermodynamics, with a large number of scientific papers and other publications in areas like Non Imaging Optics applied to Solar Thermal, Photovoltaics, Illumination and Photocatalysis, Solar Irradiation Statistics, Solar Thermal Systems Design and Engineering, Domestic Hot Water and Heating and Cooling Systems, Absorption and Adsorption Cooling Equipment, Solar Drying, Solar Ponds, Solar Cooking, Greenhouses Heating. Founder and twice President of CCE - Centro para a Conservação de Energia (the then acting Portuguese Energy Agency), founder and twice President of SPES - Sociedade Portuguesa de Energia Solar, the Portuguese Section of ISES, and twice President of ACTD - Associação para a Ciência, Tecnologia e Desenvolvimento.

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ANTÓNIO COSTA-SILVA

António Costa Silva is Chairman of the Management Commission of PARTEX OIL AND GAS Group. PARTEX is involved in oil and gas operations in Abu Dhabi, Oman, Kazakhstan, Brazil and Algeria.
He holds a MSc in Mining Engineering from the Technical University of Lisbon (IST), a MSc in Petroleum Engineering from the Imperial College (University of London) and a Doctorate Degree from the Technical University of Lisbon and Imperial College on "Development of Stochastic Models applied to Oil Reservoirs".
From 2001 to 2003 he worked at French Institute of Petroleum (IFP) in the BEICIP-FRANLAB organization as Director of Operations and Head of Reservoir Engineering Department. He was in charge of the coordination and supervision of the Technical Teams, responsible for the execution of the Hassi-Messaoud Project for Sonatrach in Algeria (encompassing Reservoir Modeling, Reservoir Simulation, Field Development planning, design of the Miscible Gas Injection Scheme), the Cantarel Project for Pemex (Mexico), the El Furrial, Zapatos and Bachaquero projects for PDVSA in Venezuela, the North Harad Project for the Gawhar field in Saudi Arabia and the Gaschran and Salman Projects in Iran. He acted also as the Project Manager for the Determination of the Reserves of an off-shore field in China, being appointed by the Stockholm Chamber of Commerce as the international expert responsible for the arbitration of a dispute on the Reserves issue.
From 1998 to 2001 he was General Manager of CGG (Compagnie Générale de Geophysique) office in Lisbon coordinating E&P activities and projects in the Middle East (Bahrain) and Mexico dealing with Reservoir Modeling, Reserves Evaluation and Field Development Planning. He supported the team involved in the execution of an integrated study for the Awali Field in Bahrain and encompassing petrophysical evaluation, reservoir modeling, dynamic simulation and field development planning for 11 different reservoirs. He developed also the reservoir engineering analysis of the Ogarrio field in Mexico, involving the development of the petrophysical correlations and their integration with the geological model, the pressure behavior and the analysis of the waterflood performance.
In 1980 he started his professional activity in Angola with SONANGOL as a member of the Production Department performing studies of the production profiles, reservoir performance, well testing analysis and interpretation in fields of the Cuanza Basin in Angola.
From 1984 to 2000 he worked at CPS (Companhia Portuguesa de Serviços) and among other projects, executed a Tacis Project "Assistance for New Oil Field Development" supported by the European Commission (DGI) and performed for the Oblast Administration of Western Siberia (Tyumen). He executed also several projects in the Middle East involving modeling and simulation of carbonate reservoirs and optimization of the Field Development Plans.

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DR. HERMAN FRANSSEN

Dr. Herman Franssen is the President of International Energy Associates Inc of Chevy Chase, Maryland since 1996. The group provides energy economic analysis of global oil markets; conducts political risk assessments; assists companies in establishing relationships with NOC's and governments in the Middle East and other oil and gas producing regions. Dr. Franssen is a Director of Petroleum Economics Ltd (PEL) of London, an internationally well known energy consulting company with considerable expertise in such areas as price formation, competitive positioning, economic and political geography, project evaluation, market regulation, and current and emerging technologies.
He is a Senior Fellow with CSIS in Washington, DC and MEC in London, an Adjunct Scholar at the Middle East Institute in Washington, DC as well as a visiting fellow at the CGES (Yamani Centre) in London.
Prior to establishing IEA Inc., Dr. Franssen was Senior Economic Advisor of H.E. the Minister of Petroleum and Minerals of the Sultanate of Oman (1985-1996), advising the Minister on crude oil marketing, international oil policy, foreign investments in the oil and gas sectors. Acted as principal liaison of the Ministry of Petroleum with the OPEC Secretariat as well as individual oil exporting and oil consuming countries.
From 1980-1985, Dr. Franssen was Chief Economist of the IEA and in this capacity was responsible for energy economic analysis of the IEA and for the first major IEA World Energy Outlook in 1983. Between 1978 and 1980, Dr. Franssen had similar responsibilities in the US Department of Energy as Director of the Office of International Market Analysis.
Between 1974 and 1978, Dr. Franssen was a Research Associate on Science Policy at the Congressional Research Service of the US Congress, providing Senators, Congressmen and Congressional committees with advice on ocean policy, ranging from Coastal Zone Management to mineral exploitation and national security issues.
Dr. Franssen was born in The Netherlands where he attended the University of Amsterdam. He received a BA from Macalester College in St.Paul, Minnesota and an MA, MALD and PhD from the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy in Medford, Mass.

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J. PETER GERLING

BGR - Federal Institute for Geosciences and Natural Resources, Stilleweg 2, D-30655 Hannover, Germany, Tel.: +49-(0)511-643 26 31, e-mail:
peter.gerling@bgr.de

J. Peter Gerling is head of the "Energy Resources" section of the Federal Institute for Geosciences and Natural Resources (BGR), which acts as an advisory body to the German government and conducts aid projects in developing countries. He received his Diplom (equivalent to an MSc) in geology and paleontology and his Dr.rer.nat. in geochemistry from the Westfälische Wilhelms-University of Münster. After three years working as an exploration geologist for a German oil company, he joined BGR as an oil and gas geochemist in 1984, working on a variety of national and international oil and gas basin studies. He was BGR's liaison officer in the German Ministry of Economics in 1996.

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CHARLES A. S. HALL

Charles A. S. Hall is ESF Foundation Distinguished Professor, Department of Environmental & Forest Biology, And Graduate Program in Environmental Science, College of Environmental Science & Forestry, State University of New York, Syracuse, N. Y. 13210.
Education: B.S. in Biology (1965) Colgate University; M.S. in Zoology, Pennsylvania State University and Ph.D. in Zoology (Ecology) (1970), University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, under H.T. Odum.
Graduate & Postgraduate Program: Thesis Director: 13 students graduated (8 in last five years); 4 currently; Dissertation Director: 14 students graduated (7 in last five years); 7 currently.
Honored for exceptional achievement in teaching by ESF Foundation.
Synergetic Activities: Charles A. S. Hall is a Systems Ecologist, hence integration, modeling and energy are his focus always. Many teaching and research activities at Syracuse and throughout Latin America focusing on intersection of environment, resources and economics, resulting in the publication of many papers and books. Many interactive activities with colleagues interested in energetics of both natural and human dominated ecosystems: e.g. measuring total system metabolism of forests in Puerto Rico. Long term studies of aquatic systems in Montana, New York, and entire human economies in the U.S., Costa Rica and Argentina.
Authored 200 papers and 7 books, many of which are accessible from his web site.
E-mail:
chall@esf.edu

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RICHARD HEINBERG

Richard Heinberg is a journalist and educator, and is the author of six books including The Party's Over: Oil, War and the Fate of Industrial Societies (2003), and Powerdown: Options and Actions for a Post-Carbon World (2004).
He is a Core Faculty member of New College of California in Santa Rosa, where he teaches a program on "Culture, Ecology and Sustainable Community".
His monthly MuseLetter (now in its 14th year,
www.museletter.com) has been nominated for an Alternative Press Award, his essays and articles have appeared in many journals, and his books have been translated into eight languages.
He travels internationally to speak on the subject of Peak Oil and has given over 100 presentations on the subject before university and general audiences.

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Dr. ROBERT L. HIRSCH

Dr. Hirsch is a Senior Energy Program Advisor at SAIC and a consultant in energy, technology, and management. Previously, he was a senior staff member at RAND, where he did energy policy analysis. Prior to that, he was Executive Advisor at Advanced Power Technologies, Inc. (APTI), where he developed and evaluated startup business opportunities and provided programmatic support to the Department of Energy's Environmental Management Program.
His primary experience is in research, development, and commercial applications. He has managed technology programs in oil and natural gas exploration and production, petroleum refining, synthetic fuels, fusion, fission, renewables, defense technologies, chemical analysis, and basic research.
Previous management positions include:
- Vice President of the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI).
- Vice President and Manager of Research and Technical Services for Atlantic Richfield Co. (Oil and gas exploration and production).
- Founder and CEO of APTI, a $50 million/year, employee owned company recently sold to BAE Systems (Commercial & Defense Department technologies).
- Manager of Exxon's synthetic fuels research laboratory.
- Manager of Petroleum Exploratory Research at Exxon (Refining R & D).
- Assistant Administrator of the U.S. Energy Research and Development Administration (ERDA) responsible for renewables, fusion, geothermal and basic research (Presidential Appointment).
- Director of fusion research at the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission and ERDA.

He has served on advisory committees for Department of Energy programs and national laboratories, the General Accounting Office, the Office of Technology Assessment, the Gas Research Institute, and NASA. He holds 14 patents and has over 40 publications. He is immediate past Chairman of the Board on Energy and Environmental Systems of the National Research Council, the operating arm of the National Academies, has served on a number of National Research Council committees and is a National Associate of the National Academies.
Phone: 703-535-3173;
RLHIRSCH@COMCAST.NET
(March 2005)

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KLAUS ILLUM
ECO Consult, Sønderhedevej 34, DK-7884 Fuur, Denmark, Phone&fax: +45 97 59 34 64, e-mail:
illum@post1.tele.dk

M.Sc., civil engineering, The Technical University of Denmark, 1962.
Ph.D., Energy Systems and Energy Planning, Aalborg University, 1981.
From 1962-74 mainly occupied with the development of educational programs in computer science alongside with studies in systems theory and cybernetics at the Danish Academy of Engineering.
Thereafter, mainly engaged in the development of methods and computer models for the technological, environmental and economic analysis of alternative scenarios for the development of energy systems and agricultural production systems at the Department of Development and Planning, Aalborg University, Denmark.
Since 1984 also engaged in studies of environmental policies and problems in Central and Eastern European countries. 1990-98: programme manager for energy planning projects in Czechoslovakia, financed by the Danish Ministry of Energy and Environment. 1997-98: programme manager for the Nordic Council of Ministers training programme for energy experts in the Baltic States.
Has developed the SESAM model (The Sustainable Energy Systems Analysis Model), an advanced generic computer model for the analysis of scenarios for the future development of national, regional or local energy systems. The SESAM model has been used and is presently being used for the integrated technological, environmental, and economic analysis of present and possible future energy systems infrastructures in Denmark, the Czech Republic, Slovenia, and the region comprising the Nordic countries.

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EDDY ISAACS Ph.D.

Eddy Isaacs is the Managing Director of the Alberta Energy Research Institute (AERI) with a responsibility for Alberta's strategic directions and investments in energy innovation areas that include conventional and unconventional oil and gas, coal, petrochemicals, carbon and water management and alternate and renewable energy.
He has been instrumental in promoting the formation of innovation networks in energy and environment across Canada and the establishment of Energy Innovation Network (EnergyINet).
Previously, Eddy served for more than 20 years with the Alberta Research Council (ARC) where he was responsible for ARC's programs in heavy oil and oil sands.
Eddy holds a Ph.D. from the University of Alberta and a B.Sc. from McGill University and has served for several years as an adjunct professor in the Department of Chemical and Material Engineering, University of Alberta. He has over 50 publications and 5 patents in the energy field.
Eddy serves on the Boards of the Petroleum Technology Alliance of Canada (PTAC), Canadian Oil Sands Network for Research and Development (CONRAD) and NewEra and is the co-Chair of the Energy Technology Working Group of the Canadian Council of Energy Ministers.

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MAREK KOLODZIEJ

Marek Kolodziej is a Ph.D. student in economics at the University of Illinois at Chicago. From the very beginning, his interest within economics was sustainable development and the thermodynamic constraints on economic activity. This interest has naturally led to his focus on global energy supply in general, and oil and natural gas in particular.
Mr. Kolodziej has given a presentation of ASPO's oil supply model at an oil depletion seminar held on July 1, 2004 at the Center for Social and Economic Research in Warsaw, Poland (
http://www.case.com.pl/strona--ID-seminaria_wewnetrzne,seminarium_id-2988129,nlang-19.html). Present were several senior Polish economists, including a member of the Monetary Policy Council of the National Bank of Poland.
Mr. Kolodziej, along with Professor Douglas Reynolds from the University of Alaska-Fairbanks, are in the process of publishing a paper about the contribution of the 1987 Soviet oil peak to the collapse of the USSR. The paper also includes a forecast which suggests a secondary peak in 2009. The paper is entitled "Former Soviet Union Oil Production and GDP Decline: Granger Causality and the Multi-Cycle Hubbert Curve" and has been submitted to the Energy Economics Journal. Due to copyright issues, it cannot be posted on-line. However, please contact Mr. Kolodziej at mkolod3@uic.edu if you wish to receive a copy of the article for your personal use. All comments and critiques would be appreciated.

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JEAN LAHERRERE

Born May 30, 1931
After graduation from Ecole Polytechnique and Ecole Nationale du Pétrole in Paris, he participated with Compagnie Francaise des Pétroles (now TOTAL) in the Sahara exploration with the discoveries of two supergiant fields: Hassi Messaoud and Hassi R'Mel. He went to explore Central, Southern and Western Australia. He was in charge of exploration in Canada for TOTAL in Calgary where he started exploring Labrador Sea and Michigan.
After 15 years overseas, he went to TOTAL headquarters in Paris where he was in charge successively of the new ventures negotiation, technical services and research, basin exploration departments and finally deputy exploration manager.
He was member of the Safety Panel of the Ocean Drilling Program (JOIDES). He was President of the Exploration Commission of the Comité des Techniciens of the Union Française de l'Industrie Pétrolière where he directed the publication of a dozen of manuals. He was director of Compagnie Génerale de Geophysique, Petrosystems and various TOTAL subsidiaries. After 37 years of worldwide exploration with TOTAL, he retired in 1991.
He is now writing articles and giving lectures. He has written several reports with Petroconsultants and Petroleum Economist on world's oil and gas potential and future production. He was a member of the "Society of Petroleum Engineers/World Petroleum Congress ad hoc Committee on joint definitions of petroleum reserves" and also a member of the task force on "Perspectives Energie 2010-2020" for the "Commissariat Général du Plan". His graphs are used in the International Energy Agency 1998 report "World International Outlook" and in the World Energy Council reports 2000 "Energy for tomorrow's world - Acting Now" & 2004 "Drivers of the energy scene". He chaired the 2002 World Petroleum Congress (Rio of Janeiro) panel on hydrates (RFP9 "Economic Use of Hydrates: Dream or Reality?"). He is a member of ASPO (Association for the Study of Peak Oil and gas).

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RAY LEONARD

Ray Leonard was born in New York, of a family of Ukrainian ancestry. He received a Bachelor of Science in Geology from the University of Arizona and a Master of Arts in Geology from the University of Texas at Austin.
His 19-year career with Amoco was entirely associated with international projects. Initial assignments were in Trinidad, Norway and West Africa. In 1989, he was appointed the Director of New Ventures for the Soviet Union, Eastern Europe and China. He was in a unique position to view the political and economic changes taking place. In 1995, he was appointed Vice President for Resource Acquisitions, Amoco Eurasia. In June 1998, he accepted a position as Exploration Vice President for First International Oil Company (FIOC), a newly formed company in Almaty, Kazakstan. He accepted a position as Vice President-Exploration and New Ventures in Moscow for YUKOS, the second largest Russian Oil Company in January 2001 with responsibility for diversifying the YUKOS upstream portfolio out of the core areas of West Siberia and Samara, specifically East Siberia, the Russian Shelf and Central Asia, and concluding partnership agreements with non-Russian companies.
In January 2005 he joined MOL, the Hungarian Oil and Gas Company with the highest market capitalization (approx 9 billion USD) of any company in Eastern Europe as Senior Vice President for International Exploration and Production. He now resides in Budapest.

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MARIANO MARZO

Mariano Marzo is full professor of Stratigraphy at the Faculty of Geology of the University of Barcelona where he teaches Petroleum Geology and Energy Resources. He received and M.S. degree in geology from the University of Barcelona in 1975 and a Ph.D. in geology from the same university in 1980.
M. Marzo's research interests focus on the application of clastic sedimentology, sequence stratigraphy, reservoir modelling, and basin analysis to the exploration and production of hydrocarbons. He is actively involved in training activities and research projects funded by oil companies (ConocoPhillips, ExxonMobil, Norsk Hydro, Repsol-Ypf, Shell, Statoil and Total among others). He has worked in southern Europe, North Sea, South America, northern Africa and Middle East.
M. Marzo has authored and co-authored 75 scientific papers, edited 15 books and special issues on sedimentology and stratigraphy, held more than 100 presentations on conferences and workshops and has served in the editorial board of highly-reputed international geological journals like "Basin Research" and "Geology". He is a regular contributor on energy issues to the main Spain's media and newspapers. M. Marzo is member of the American Association of Petroleum Geologists and of the European Association of Petroleum Geoscientists & Engineers.

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JOÃO CARLOS de OLIVEIRA MATIAS

João Carlos de Oliveira Matias is Assistant Professor of the Department of the Electromechanical Engineering of the University of Beira Interior and member of the Technological Forecasting and Theory Research Group, being responsible for its foundation.
He has a B.Sc. in Mechanical Engineering (University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal, 1994), a M.Sc. in Quality Management (University of Beira Interior, Covilhã, Portugal, 1997), and a PhD degree in Production Engineering (University of Beira Interior, Covilhã, Portugal, 2003) in Technological Forecasting, conducting research in "Future Scenarios for Primary Energy Sources". He is author of more than 30 articles published in several national and international periodicals and congresses proceedings.

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RT HON MICHAEL MEACHER, MP

Michael Meacher was educated at Berkhamstead School, New College Oxford and the London School of Economics.
He joined the Labour Party in 1962 and has been Labour Member for Oldham West 1970-97 and Oldham West and Royton since 1 May 1997. He contested Colchester in 1966 and Oldham West in 1968.
His political appointments comprise: Under Secretary for Industry, 1974-75; Under Secretary for Health and Social Security, 1975-79; Candidate for Labour Party Deputy Leadership, 1983; Member of Labour Party National Executive Committee 1983-89; Member of Shadow Cabinet 1983-1997; Labour Party Chief Opposition Spokesman on Health and Social Security, 1983-87; Chief Opposition Spokesman on Employment 1987-89; Chief Opposition Spokesman on Social Security 1989-1992; Chief Opposition Spokesman on Overseas Development and Co-operation July 1992 to November 1993; Chief Opposition Spokesman on Public Service and Citizens' Rights 1993-1994; Chief Opposition Spokesman on Transport 1994-1995; Chief Opposition Spokesman on Employment 1995-1996; Chief Opposition Spokesman on Environmental Protection from July 1996 to May 1997. Privy Counsellor May 1997. Minister of State for the Environment May 1997 to June 2003.
He was a member of the Select Committee on the Treasury and Civil Service (1981-83). Member of the Environmental Audit Committee 1997- ,
His special political interests embrace Environmental Protection and Sustainable Development, Economic Policy, Industry and Trade Policy, Reform of the Machinery of Government, Reform of the Media, Housing, Education and Social Services. His book "Diffusing Power: The Key to Socialist Revival" was published in July 1992.
His other affiliations are membership of UNISON, The Fabian Society, SERA and the Child Poverty Action Group.
His hobbies include sport, music and reading.

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RUI NAMORADO-ROSA

Rui Namorado Rosa is full professor of Physics at the University of Évora and a visiting professor at the Technical University of Lisbon, Portugal.
He holds a degree in Physical and Chemical Sciences by the University of Lisbon (1961) and a D.Phil. by the University of Oxford in Plasma Physics (1968).
He has worked in different fields since he started his scientific career in Radiation Chemistry back in 1961. He has done research and published in the fields of Plasma Physics, Micrometeorology, Earth Sciences, Thermal Engineering, Energy Resources, and History of Science. He kept a life-long interest in Energy resources and technologies.
Was attached staff at the Culham Laboratory (U.K.A.E.A.) in 1969. Was member or leader of research teams at the University of Évora, at the former Nuclear Energy Board (up to 1979) and at the former National Laboratory for Industrial Engineering and Technology (up to 1983). Has published about ninety scientific and technical papers and essays and delivered many more communications, seminars and talks.
He took active part in the foundation of the Portuguese Physical Society (1974) and the Organization of Scientific Workers (1975), as well as of the Geophysics Centre of Évora (1991) and the Centre of History and Philosophy of Science - University of Évora (1995).
He held the presidency of the Scientific Council (1997-99) and the position of Vice-rector (1995-98) of the University of Évora. Is now the director of the Geophysical Centre of Évora (since 1999).

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PROF. XIONGQI PANG

Basin & Reservoir Research Center, University of Petroleum (Beijing), hangping, Beijing102200, P.R.China, Phone: +86-10-89733346(O); Fax:010-89733423; Email:
pangxq@.bjpeu.edu.cn

Long time woring on the teaching and researching of basin analysis, petroleum resources evaluation and petroleum accumulation mechanism. More than 100 articles and 9 monographes published in related researching fields. Leading and Attending 26 projects from the national government, research departments and oil fields. In charge of the construction of Geology Resources and Geology Engineering (the first class subject of University of Petroleum(Beijing)) and Minerals Reconnaissance and Exploration(the key subject of our nation).
PRESENT POSITION
1. Director, Key Laboratory of Petroleum Reservoir Formation Mechanism, Chinese Ministry of Education
2. Research Assistant of the President, University of Petroleum (Beijing)
3. Editor Director of "Petroleum Science" and Editor of "Journal Of the University Of Petroleum, China", "Petroleum Exploration And Development" and "Natural Gas Geoscience"
AWARDS RECEIVED
  • Brilliant Talent Award from the Education Ministry in 2003
  • Special salary allowance from the China State Government since 2000
  • Selected as one of future scientific program leaders in the field of petroleum geology in 1996
  • Received the first prize and the second prize of the National Award for Advancing Science &Technology separately once
  • Received the first prize, the second prize and the third prize of the Province/Ministry Award for Advancing Science &Technology totally seven times

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RUDOLF RECHSTEINER, MP

Rudolf Rechsteiner, 1958, economist (Ph.D.), married, 2 children, lives in Basel/Switzerland
is a member or the Swiss national Parliament since 1995
is a member of the Comitee for energy and environment
is a member of the social-democratic party of Switzerland
is a lecturer on energy and environmental policy at Basel University, Switzerland

Rudolf Rechsteiner is known for his publications on environmental and energy issues.
He is the head of ADEV Energy (
http://www.adev.ch/), an Independent Power Producer Cooperative, founded in 1985, with solar, hydro wind and combined heat and power plants.
He also is a member of the Board of the state-owned gas & electricity Company of Basel (Industrielle Werke Basel), serving some 200'000 people and the Chemical Industry of Basel with pure hydro and CHP electricity.
Rechsteiner introduced a budget-neutral electricity tax of some 3 €C./kWh on state level in 1998 as an incentive for energy efficiency. He is engaged in the new law for an open electricity market in Switzerland and tries to introduce fair feed in tariffs for green electricity nationwide in Switzerland by 2007, like the German Model of Erneuerbare-Energien-Gesetz. Since 1975 Rechsteiner is engaged in the anti nuclear power movement that successfully enacted a 10-years stop for new nuclear power plants. In early 2003 he published the book "Grün gewinnt" (Green wins) where he showed depletion curves on oil and gas of many world areas, based on the work of Campbell and Laherrere.
Rechsteiner thinks that wind energy, geothermal and solar will grow exponentially and will deliver bulk power for most electricity and energy needs cost-effectively, in combination with new storage and continent-wide capacity management. He is pushing a Renewable Vision politically too and has proposed a stronger integration of Swiss hydro storage within the European electricity market. His findings are based on scientific calculations done by the German physicist Gregor Czisch.
Rechsteiner is a strong critic of the International Energy Agency and its misleading pro-oil and pro-nuclear standing. He has some experience with Swiss hydro power and hydro power storage - crucial for wind energy and renewables capacity management. He is convinced that within a good legal framework electricity from renewables will develop as a least cost strategy in economic as well as in ecological perspective, probably within a decade only. Additionally there is vast potential of untapped efficiency gains. These technologies can offset the depletion of oil and gas world wide.

Essays in English: Ten steps to a sustainable energy future
Petroleum and conflicts - Strategies for Industrialized Countries
Downloads in German: http://www.rechsteiner-basel.ch/publikationen.cfm

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BRUCE ROBINSON

Bruce Robinson is a member of the Sustainable Transport Coalition, in Perth, Western Australia. He is a physical scientist and has long worked in mineral exploration research. He also founded the WA Cyclists' Action Group in 1979.
Bruce has been studying oil depletion since hearing Brian Fleay talk in Perth in 1996. He helped arrange a visit to Australia by Les Magoon in 2001 He wrote the background paper on Oil Vulnerability for the WA Government's State Sustainability Strategy and presented papers on Oil Depletion at the 2003 International Sustainability Conference in Fremantle and to the Australasian Transport Research Forum in Adelaide in September 2004. He is a member of the Petroleum Exploration Society of Australia and has given seminars to many organisations.
He is a member of the Editorial Committee of "Petroleum Science", the international journal published by the University of Petroleum, China in Beijing.
He is the only Australian to have attended all three of the previous International Workshops on Oil Depletion.
The Sustainable Transport Coalition is a successful community-based group, with input from a range of government, conservation and transport-advocate bodies. It has held two conferences on oil depletion, including "Oil: Living with Less" in August 2004 at which Ali Samsam Bakhtiari was the keynote speaker.
www.STCwa.org.au

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KRISTIN RØNNING

Kristin Rønning. Born in 1964. Childhood in Bodø (Norther Norway). 2 children.
Staff Geologist. Statoil
1990: Cand Scient (Marine geology). University of Tromsø. Norway.
1990-today: Geologist, Statoil.
Seismic interpretation and stratigraphy. Prospect-, play- and basin-evaluation. Risk and resource assessment.
  • Norway (Barents Sea and Norwegian Sea)
  • Russia (Barents Sea, Pechora Sea, Okhotsk Sea)
  • Screening of Russia and China.

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EAMON RYAN, TD

Is a Green Party member of the Irish Parliment representing the constituency of Dublin South. He is the parties spokesperson on energy, transport and enterprise and he is the opposition convenor on the Joint Committee on Communications, Marine and Natural Resources within the Irish Parliment.
He was the founder and managing director of Irish Cycling Safaris Ltd which is a leading activity holiday company and is former chairman of the Dublin Cycling Campaign.
He was elected to Dublin City Council in 1998 prior to being elected to the Irish Parliment 'Dail Eireann' in 2002.
He is married to the writer Victoria White with whom he has four young children.

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CHRIS SANDERS
Chris Sanders has worked as a private banker and investment manager for twenty six years.
He is the managing director of Sanders Research Associates Ltd., an international consulting firm specializing in the analysis of the global political economy, and is a director of Atlantic Partners Investment Services Ltd., a global investment advisory firm located in Dublin. Sanders Research publishes a subscription based magazine on global economics, politics and markets at
www.sandersresearch.com.
Mr. Sanders has spent much of his career in the Middle East, and holds a degree in Arabic Literature from the University of Michigan and a degree in Political Science from Duke University. He lectures on international economics at the University of Gothenburg's School of Public Administration.

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MARCEL SCHOPPERS
Dr Marcel Schoppers' studies took him from physics to applied mathematics to software engineering to artificial intelligence to robotics - all to make real things move well. Along the way he has also mastered electronics, statistics, image analysis, simulation, decision theory, formal logics, and many other odds & ends.
He now has one eye on the heavens, where he helps operate the Mars Exploration Rovers, and his other eye on depleting natural resources and self-destructing economies. In both directions, he is heard remarking that "Nature doesn't care what anyone wants". He wishes to become involved with a raw materials industry such as energy, mining, fishing, or farming.

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The Rt. Hon. EDWARD RICHARD SCHREYER
P.C., C.C., C.M.M., O.M., C.D., B.A., B.Ed., M.A., D.S.S., LL.D. (h.c.)

Edward Schreyer was first elected to the Manitoba Legislature in 1958 at age 22 and reelected in 8 consecutive elections in 21 years. He lectured on International relations at St. Paul's College then was elected NDP Member of Parliament for Selkirk 1965 and reelected in 1968. He became NDP leader 1969 and Premier of Manitoba 1969-77, The ensuing government enacted, for the first time, law and regulations requiring environmental impact assessment. He served concurrently as Minister Responsible for Manitoba Hydro precisely at the time major expansion was required, which in turn required choice between constructing major hydro works as opposed to a series of coal and gas thermal generating stations. His government introduced legislation that expanded public Health Care to include Home Care and Pharmaceuticals. Federal and other provincial governments developed similar programs soon after. Ed Schreyer served as: Governor General of Canada and Commander-in-Chief 1979-84; as Canadian High Commissioner to Australia, Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands & Ambassador to Vanuatu 1984-88. He serves in various capacities in a number of organizations including Habitat for Humanity, The Canadian Shield Foundation, Sierra Legal Defense Fund, Hospital and Nursing Home care organizations, two Canada-based oil/gas exploration companies and a forest-products company. Since 1989 he has been guest professor at 4 universities in Canada and 5 in Europe: the focus throughout has been on Resource Geography, Energy Resource Options and Environmental Impact in Global Context. Mr. Schreyer currently serves on the Port of Vancouver Port Authority and Lake Winnipeg Stewardship Boards and is Special Advisor on Energy, Science and Technology to the Government of Manitoba. He serves as Director of the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD). He is a frequent guest speaker at fundraising and other public events relating to energy, conservation, multiculturalism and heritage preservation. He is married to Lily and they have 4 adult children living on 3 continents.

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CHRIS SKREBOWSKI

Editor of Petroleum Review.
Chris has spent his entire working career in the oil industry split roughly two-thirds as an oil journalist and one-third as a planner/market analyst within the industry.
He became editor of Petroleum Review in June 1997 having edited Petroleum Economist for the previous three years. Prior to that he had eight years working for the Saudis as an oil market analyst in London.
Chris started his working career in 1970 as a long-term planner for BP and then joined Petroleum Times as a journalist just before the first oil crisis of 1973/74. In the late 1970s he edited Offshore Services, an offshore oil magazine.
As well as writing extensively for a range of oil industry related publications he has also broadcast on radio and TV on oil and gas subjects. One of the founder members of the ASPO (Association for the study of Peak Oil) group he has a great interest in oil depletion and its consequences. He is also a trustee on the board of ODAC (Oil Depletion Analysis Centre)

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MATTHEW R. SIMMONS

Matthew Simmons is Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Simmons & Company International, a specialized energy investment banking firm. The firm has completed over 500 investment banking projects for its worldwide energy clients at a combined dollar value of approximately $60 billion.
Mr. Simmons was raised in Kaysville, Utah. He graduated cum laude from the University of Utah and received an MBA with Distinction from Harvard Business School. He served on the faculty of Harvard Business School as a Research Associate for two years and was a Doctoral Candidate.
Mr. Simmons began a small venture capital, private debt placement, merger and acquisition firm in Boston. Among his early clients was a rapidly growing subsea service company. By 1973, most of his clients were oil service companies. Following the 1973 Oil Shock, Simmons decided to create a Houston-based firm to concentrate on providing highest quality investment banking advice to the worldwide oil service industry. Over time, the specialization expanded into investment banking covering all aspects of the global energy industry.
Today the firm has approximately 150 employees and enjoys a leading role as one of the largest energy investment banking groups in the world. Its offices are in Houston, Texas; London, England; Boston, Massachusetts and Aberdeen, Scotland.
Mr. Simmons is a Trustee of The Farnsworth Art Museum in Rockland, Maine. He serves on the Board of Directors of Kerr-McGee Corporation (Oklahoma City), Brown-Forman Corporation, The Initiative for a Competitive Inner City (Boston), Houston Technology Center (Houston) and the Center for Houston's Future (Houston). He is Co-Chairman of the National Trust Council and also serves on The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center Foundation Board of Visitors (Houston) and a Trustee of the Bermuda Biological Station for Research. In addition, he is past Chairman of the National Ocean Industry Association. He serves on the Board of Dean's Advisors of Harvard Business School and is a past President of the Harvard Business School Alumni Association and a former member of the Visiting Committee of Harvard Business School. He is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations and The Atlantic Council of the United States.
Mr. Simmons publishes numerous energy papers for industry journals and is a frequent speaker at government forums, energy symposiums and in board rooms of many leading energy companies around the world.
Mr. Simmons is married and has five daughters. His hobbies include watercolors, cooking, writing and travel.
(July 2004)

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ROLF WILLKRANS

AB Volvo, Environmental Affairs, Dept 961 VHK, SE-405 08 Gothenburg. Phone +46 31 66 1145.
email:
rolf.Willkrans@volvo.com

Rolf Willkrans has been with the Volvo Group since 1996 starting at Volvo Truck Corporation as Product engineer followed by Environmental coordinator at Volvo Truck Headquarters. He has the position of Director Environmental Affairs at AB Volvo Headquarters in Gothenburg since 2001. His main responsibility is coordination and support of product related environmental issues within the Volvo Group.
Rolf Willkrans has a Master of Science in Mechanical Engineering at Lund University 1988.
He has a broad background from several different companies covering product development, purchasing and environmental care. He was a Design engineer at Svedala Arbra AB and TetraPak AB from 1980 to 1988. Then Purchasing Manager at Alfastar AB until 1990. After that Research Engineer at The Swedish Institute of Production Engineering Research until 1996, working with research projects within the environmental area.

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JACK ZAGAR

Independent petroleum reservoir engineering consultant, an associate of MHA Petroleum Consultants, Inc. of Golden, Colorado and partner with noted author and world oil reserve expert, Dr. Colin Campbell.
Jack Zagar has thirty years experience in North Sea, onshore Europe, the Middle East (including 3 years with Aramco in Saudi Arabia), Gulf of Mexico, and onshore U.S.A. operations in petroleum reservoir engineering and reservoir management; economic evaluations of projects, property trades, and asset sales; and corporate planning.
Twenty-two years were with Exxon Corporation and Exxon U.S.A. The last eight years as an independent reservoir engineering consultant, Mr. Zagar has been with MHA Petroleum Consultants of Golden, Colorado and has partnered with noted author and world oil reserve expert, Dr. Colin Campbell.

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